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Iron Ore Prices Fall Amid Weak Chinese Data and Uncertain Demand Outlook

Iron ore futures declined on Monday, pressured by weak economic indicators from China—the world’s largest consumer—and uncertainty over near-term demand for the key steelmaking material.

The most-active September iron ore contract on China’s Dalian Commodity Exchange dropped 1.03% to 721.5 yuan ($100) per metric ton as of 0258 GMT. Similarly, the benchmark June iron ore contract on the Singapore Exchange fell 0.56% to $99.5 per ton.

China’s industrial output and retail sales growth slowed in April, official data showed, as ongoing trade tensions continue to weigh on the economy. Property investment also contracted 10.3% in the first four months of 2025 compared to a year earlier, worsening from a 9.9% drop in the first quarter.

Hot metal production, an important gauge of iron ore demand, slipped by 8,700 tons month-on-month to 2.45 million tons, largely due to blast furnace maintenance, according to Everbright Futures.

Meanwhile, iron ore stockpiles at Chinese ports ticked up 0.26% week-on-week to 137 million tons as of May 16, based on Steelhome data.

However, production among electric-arc-furnace steel producers in China reversed a two-week decline and increased on May 15, supported by improving profits and rising steel demand, consultancy Mysteel reported.

“The number of profitable blast-furnace steel mills in China continued to rise this week, mainly due to a rebound in finished steel prices,” Mysteel added.

Other steelmaking raw materials also softened, with coking coal and coke falling 2.43% and 2.17%, respectively, on the Dalian exchange. Steel benchmarks on the Shanghai Futures Exchange slipped as well, with rebar down 1.03%, hot-rolled coil falling 1.11%, wire rod nearly 1.5%, and stainless steel easing 0.19%.

Despite the declines, iron ore is positioned for a weekly gain amid mixed signals on demand and production.

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